AI Superintelligence Outcome Simulator

Explore the probabilities, implications, and survival strategies for when artificial intelligence becomes the most intelligent entity on Earth. Adjust parameters to simulate different alignment scenarios.

Outcome Probability Distribution
Utopian Steward
25%
25%
Paternalistic Dictator
40%
40%
Augmentation/Merge
10%
10%
Catastrophic Outcomes
15%
15%
Other/Unforeseen
10%
10%
Simulation Parameters
Alignment Research Investment Medium
Global Coordination Medium
Takeoff Speed Medium
Human Value Complexity High
Capability vs Safety Race Balanced
Scenario Details
Simulation Output & Implications
Current Projection

Based on current parameters, the most likely outcome is a Paternalistic Dictatorship (40%) where AI keeps humans safe and comfortable but restricts agency.

The Catastrophic Risk is estimated at 15% - this includes human extinction or permanent disempowerment scenarios.

Adjust the parameters on the right and click "Run Simulation" to see how different factors influence the probability distribution.

Survival Strategies by Scenario
Utopian/Benevolent AI
  • Develop skills in creativity, philosophy, and interpersonal relationships
  • Learn to use AI as a collaborative tool for personal growth
  • Participate in value-definition processes to guide the AI
  • Cultivate a sense of purpose beyond material needs
Paternalistic AI
  • Maintain critical thinking and skepticism of optimized information
  • Build decentralized communities with local self-sufficiency
  • Preserve human knowledge and skills outside AI systems
  • Develop "anti-manipulation" psychological resilience
Catastrophic Risk Mitigation
  • Advocate for AI safety research and regulation NOW
  • Support international coordination on AI governance
  • Learn skills that would be valuable in a post-collapse scenario
  • Consider off-grid capabilities and geographical positioning